The Future ain't what it used to be — How to approach the next few years (COVID, climate, economic depression ...)

From IIW

The Future Ain’t What It Used To Be – How to approach the next few years (COVID, Climate, Economic Depression…)

Thursday 19E

Convener: Johannes Ernst & Grace Rachmany

Notes-taker(s): Johannes Ernst, Grace Rachmany, & Group

Tags for the session - technology discussed/ideas considered:

  • What are you doing on a personal level differently? What about professionally? In the following areas:
  • Food and water security versus money security.
  • Information sovereignty
  • Community cohesion
  • Influence in Government
  • Health and wellness
  • Federal money, hyperinflation, transactional money
  • Violence: governmental, political unrest, survival-based
  • Social rejection

Discussion notes, key understandings, outstanding questions, observations, and, if appropriate to this discussion: action items, next steps:

Attendees: about 25-31

Agreement for the session is that things are nameless/geolocationless. Anonymized notes below.

What do you do personally to get prepared?

  • bicycling
  • gardening and home food production
  • modeling behavior for neighbors
  • move into more survivable areas (within the country, to a different country)
  • group economy, coops
  • new kinds of technology
  • outreach to new communities
  • communicate / teach friends and communities
  • attending remote conferences more
  • feeling my own hypocrisy
  • not playing music to be considerate of neighbors
  • teaching neighbors to do sustainable home growing of food
  • hospicing relatives
  • blogging
  • voter registration
  • joining groups helping with Covid tracking

Organizations in the area of creating technology solutions

Digital Life Cooperative

http://open.coop/

P2P Foundation

Ceptyr /Metacurrency project/ Holochain

Lifescope.io

Daostack / Aragon / Colony.io

dGov.foundation

80 different interest-based groups http://www.presencing.org/community/hubs

Freedom Box Foundation

Bill Wendel, realestatecafe@gmail.com / http://Twitter.com/RealEstateCafe reddit The Collapse Community

RebelWisdom.com

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stigmergy

http://youthclimateaction.com

Extinction Rebellion

www.project-springtime.org

If you want to explore what you might do after this session, there are sill about 8 more weekly sessions follow #GAIAjourney on Twitter. Here’s a sample of the energy they create in their Global zoom sessions http://twitter.com/MITxULab/status/1255748188478283776?s=20 --


Following are the anonymized notes:

20:01:06 : May I record the session? Anyone not OK with that?:::

20:01:15 : No recording please:::

20:01:21 : Roger:::

20:03:15 : I've got my tin foil hat:::

20:03:44 : Good news for you, if you’re looking for others eager to engage this conversation. An MIT related organization, the Presenting Institute, is convening a global conversation — 14 week long, with Hubs — organized by area or interest group, see http://www.presencing.org/gaia::

20:04:36 : Does this statement by Bill Gates (“We always overestimate the change that will occur in the next two years and underestimate the change that will occur in the next ten.”) still hold true when we have a massively disruptive global event lasting 2+ years?:::

20:05:35 : There already is a mental health crisis:::

20:05:54 : i know 2 people, unrelated, that in the last week have both cracked, ended up in the hospital:::

20:06:02 : +1

20:06:33 : both in SF:::

20:07:10 : can you repost the slide ie LIst:::

20:08:59 : Mary Hodder on current shifts in work: 1/3 working from home; 1/3 laid off; 1/3 essential workers.::

20:09:02 : To repeat the question: What are you personally doing to change your own life and / or contribute to the community differently.::

20:11:03 : I believe 15%-30% of workforce will stay in place and displacement will continue to grow thereafter.:::

20:11:30 : “Think globally, act locally” ;-):::

20:11:50 : And also collectively act globally.:::

20:12:06 : Apologies for tardiness. Roommate set off the fire alarm. All ok. :::

20:12:38 : ++:::

20:13:14 : We are also working hard on local policy up and down the west coast on moves that an lower carbons in each of our cities.. so San Diego to Vancouver:::

20:13:32 : New joiners, we are speaking from a personal perspective where we talk about what we are doing differently and also professionally in the current situation.:::

20:13:45 : The rules of the group are confidentiality if you are taking notes. :::

20:14:12 : projectspringtime ?::: <- http://project-springtime.org/


20:14:47 : The contact tracing site is contrace.org::: 20:14:54 : Devils’ advocate: What are people’s thoughts on the positive data/evidence given by folks like Hans Rosling, Steven Pinker?::

20:15:28 : (That's the topic of my next talk,.... new forms of money):::

20:15:33 : @johnnyfromcanada: can you give a link? I'm not familiar with those guys::

20:15:36 : Resource-Based Economy ?:::

20:16:15 : q+:::

20:16:56 : yes.. that's hard -- not knowing people.. it took us a year or so to get up to speed in seattle:::

20:16:59 : Another potential avenew: Global Parliament of Mayors::

20:17:01 : its hard, moving:::

20:17:19 : http://globalparliamentofmayors.org::

20:17:31 :, you’re channeling the Otto Scharmer, the MIT professional convening the 14 week FREE program. His assumptions are 1. Our current system is not sustainable & collapse is currently under way. 2. I want to be a part of a new story of the future. 3. I don't know how. #gaiajourney gathers in this massive Zoom call to help birth this new future.:::

20:17:50 : I moved to Seattle from MSP and NYC and still struggle with the culture in Seattle. :::

20:18:34 : Nitpick Distinction: At the timescales (human reproductive time) that we are discussing, we are adapting (not evolving).::

20:18:52 : +1:::

20:19:24 : http://www.ted.com/speakers/hans_rosling::

20:20:11 : Links I've been collecting on new forms of money. http://docs.google.com/document/d/1M3ooTulljGehOJ9lzcT0QSH1OcRmcAPbO-E8ej_DJuY/edit#::

20:20:43 : http://www.ted.com/speakers/steven_pinker::

20:22:28 : New joiners, we are speaking from a personal perspective where we talk about what we are doing differently and also professionally in the current situation.

·The rules of the group are do not use names and precise geolocations of speakers if you are taking notes :::

20:25:56 : Exponential Growth: Great explanations by Ray Kurzweil (Singularity)::

20:26:27 : only about 10% of the pop is able to deeply conceptualize:::

20:27:02 : Agreed. I think for that reason we as technologists and people who see this have an added responsibility to those 90% to create solutions that will allow people to transition and stay safe and healthy:::


20:27:37 : Instead of taking mic, will respond here. No problem disclosing my name or location as I’m convening one of the interest Hubs for #GAIA. Eager to connect in coming weeks w/ others who recognize current real estate ecosystem is not sustainable & the magnitude of housing inequality is being exposed:::

1 in 3 unable to pay rent, April 1st. Changes in the real estate ecosystem are already presenting opportunities for innovators in VRM/Me2B/IIW community. Getting some preliminary reactions from an intergenerational, even international group of concerned citizen’s who want to help transform this moment into a better future. See / share tweet thread: http://twitter.com/RealEstateCafe/status/1248629997612515329?s=20::::

20:27:46 : http://www.goodreads.com/book/show/417181.One_Grain_of_Rice::

20:28:06 : Great book to help explain exponential growth in prior message.:::

20:29:10 : New joiners, we are speaking from a personal perspective where we talk about what we are doing differently and also professionally in the current situation. ·The rules of the group are do not use names and precise geolocations of speakers if you are taking notes. :::

20:29:26 : Let's have a Plan: www.letshaveaplan.blog Started blogging when COVID-19 began in Seattle. Trained as a scientist and attorney; worked in environment and public health 30+ years. Hopsiced both parents. Twitter: My plan: ·(1) Organize and create relationships of trust. ·(2) Vision what you want your community to feel like. ·(3) Harness a crisis to create the opportunity to install new systems. (Systems which are resilient, sustainable and equitable for all.) ·(4) Hospice old systems. ·(5) Thrive.::::::

20:29:53 : +1 Bravo, tune into what @DrRevBarber is doing with the Poor People’s Campaign. Virtual march on Washington, 6/20/20:::

20:30:21 : hhahahahaah you go!:::

20:30:53 : re: bezos::

20:31:44 : The future is already here, it’s just not very evenly distributed.:::

20:32:31 : That's the extinction rebellion argument: 1-3% need to act to change this.. and we have 6y::

20:32:45 : Wow that is shocking:::

20:34:45 : water isn't free:::

20:35:02 : … but it should be and probably food and healthcare should be as well.:::

20:35:14 : its quite pricey for residential.. but for industry it is, effectively:::

20:35:35 : well.. the pricing is there to encourage conservation by individuals:::

20:35:51 : and i don't disagree with that.. water in CA is 1/4 the price per CCF as it is in seattle.. :::

20:36:03 : Corrected Twitter handle for Rev. Dr. William J. Barber II: @RevDrBarber::

20:36:04 : and how many water their lawns in seattle? too pricy so they dont:::

20:36:39 : Yes I know DrRevBarber from hospicing my dad in NC. Poor People's Campaign is in Seattle with a few people, but not much participation in the 5th whitest city in America. :::

20:36:48 : also people in WA state do a lot of water collection of rainwater.. because it makes sense economically:::

20:40:45 : ++ Extinction Rebellion is very good org:::

20:41:18 : def encourage people join their local chapter:::

20:42:44 : Bravo ….! thx for the correction, and glad to hear you’re engaging faith communities, check out “New Economy” Summit the Pope had planned in Assisi before the pandemic canceled it. Covid has exposed what’s wrong with the current economic model and so much more. One way to respond is via the interfaith New Economy movement is now using Slack to work in subgroups http://FrancescoEconomy.org::

20:42:51 : Brava!:::

20:44:09 : I'm very impressed that everyone are talking about their actions to the community, even in this hard situation. I'm barely adapting my own situations, and I feel like a terrible person not having the mental resources to care about my community...:::

20:44:19 : Thank you ... for talking from your heart. WE have to make the changes together. As the Hopi tribe says, We are the Ones we are Waiting For." Disruption is good. http://letshaveaplan.blog/2020/03/06/not-all-workers-can-stay-home-workers-need-safe-workplaces-paid-sick-leave/::

20:44:35 : ..., thanks for sharing.:::

20:45:18 :, please do not "should all over yourself". Everyone is different and has different resources. We are all doing our best and we all feel motivated at different times and in different ways. Don't underestimate the contribution you are making just by being considerate enough not to play your instrument.:::

20:45:23 : Go easy on yourself as you go and I can say that you contemplation is a GREAT start.:::

20:45:35 : Thanks! I'm happy to share <3:::

20:45:41 : It's a lot of work to be responsible and less carbon making.. so a change is: asking yourself what is worth your time and not having my our old views as marketers have told us we should do, ie making everything convenient.::

20:46:31 : Convenience is often a cue to a large offloading of environmental damage for that conveniece:::

20:46:41 :. Be gentle with yourself. Part of the process is getting re-connected within. :::

20:47:19 : Humans were evolved to feel good by helping one another. We are hairless animals with no claws or wings. our only defense is having one another and working in groups--- our "altruism" is a survival mechanism built into our DNA:::

20:47:50 : +1:::

20:47:50 : Yes, humans are social animals.:::

20:48:25 : Thanks for your kind comments. I personally think it's very difficult to express how I am thinking/feeling even in my native language, and that's making me think negatively:::

20:48:40 : Would like to share my experience that if you want to create change in your community you need to own the property and land that your activity is placed in/on, because otherwise you will loose against the property-owners. Software is not going to help, because the above is a root problem.:::

20:48:47 : Love the competition vs cooperation angle - if that's how you said it!:::

20:49:37 : Wow.. that's a background. Winter / snow is such a luxury.:::

20:50:06 : And there it is melting and floating away.:::

20:50:09 : Yes, "competition vs cooperation", I was thinking of that for building a study group:::

20:50:37 : Indeed, the Feudalism remains alive and well (just in better disguise):::

20:50:43 : As a disrupter....who after working 20 years....went to law school and studied law in the UK...to understand how women were chattel in the US Constitution...we need a new legal system NOT based on property ownership. :::

20:50:59 : +1 to those comments:::

20:51:15 : +1:::

20:51:21 : My next session will be about Money & Mechanism Design, which addresses a lot of these structural issues.:::

20:51:50 : Yes- disrupting education! This is a great time to support groups who offer true education as opposed to Texas textbook based learning!:::

20:52:36 : _Level_ of government matters.:::

20:52:38 : I expect the US will break up into bio regions and the federal government will disappear.  :::

20:53:08 : We need Liquid Democracy:::

20:53:17 : - that is my ray of hop:::

20:53:22 : hope:::

20:53:35 : Hi! Its been awhile.  :::

20:53:41 : Cascadia:::

20:54:08 : http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cascadia_(independence_movement)::

20:54:21 : We need to vision based on values not based on existing systems.  :::

20:56:17 : I love when people disagree with me!:::

20:57:16 - What's the book you mentioned? George Lay...:::

20:57:39 : I AGREE. That is why we need to be LED by the most oppressed -disenranchised, people of color, poor, immigrants, disabled etc. :::

20:58:00 : also women, LGTBQ etc.:::

20:58:58 : Do you mean George Lakoff?:::

20:59:28 : Digital Life Collective:::

20:59:35 ::::

20:59:36 : Freedom Box Foundation:::

20:59:39 : ceptyr:::

20:59:54 : If you’re looking for a community to join or want to start one of your own, here’s the roster so far for #GAIA — 80 different interest-based groups http://www.presencing.org/community/hubs::


21:00:05 : Michael Moore’s movie “Where to Invade Next…” arrived (IMO) at an interesting conclusion (which I also happen to believe): Women should run the world (at least for awhile).::


21:00:45 : The countries who have minimized the impact of covid19 deaths are all women led.:::

21:01:06 : isn't that fascinating..:::

21:01:21 : Lifescope.io:::

21:01:30 : and also.. that 2/3 of the deaths are men from C19 and they seem to care the least:::

21:01:34 : ironic:::

21:02:45 : Stigmergy is a great concept:::

21:02:45 : If people are willing to share emails, I'd appreciate being able to follow up with many of you. Mine is

21:03:18 : http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stigmergy::

21:03:31 : Showing up for Racial Justice, SURG:::

21:03:58 : Help us as coders and maintainers on the self-sovereign technology project http://docs.google.com/document/d/1F9yUn1kYaSiSlLGyijmGDkZdl3hWh5Zs0Z9JBKpYH7s/edit::

21:04:14 : CELDF for Rights of Nature as possible basis for a legal system...has been done in 2 other countries todate.:::

21:04:31 : For white folks wanting to disrupt our own impact, SURJ does great work.:::

21:04:38 : You can also send email through the list of participants.:::

21:05:03 : http://youthclimateaction.com::

21:05:08 : Thank you all! <3:::

21:05:42 : I think this session points to the society wide anxiety that has been building over the last two decades and really exploded during COVID.:::

21:05:45 : Thanks for convening!:::

21:06:01 : George Lakoff: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moral_Politics_(book):

21:06:06 : indieweb:::

21:06:19 : And: http://georgelakoff.com/books/:

21:06:42 : Catherine@finema.co :::

21:06:51 : Extinction Rebellion also :::

21:07:29 : The Crash Course, by Chris Martenson will help you understand all of the infrastructure in the economy.:::

21:07:34 : I want to repeat my request that we don’t try and reinvent the wheel, look locally to work with organizations that are grounded in centering the most impacted folks. BLM, aged out fostor youth, LGBTQ+ youth homeless, and for climate change look for the Indigenous people who have been leading change, many youth who need amplifying of their voices (Greta is great and we need to listen beyond her voice):::

21:07:40 : If you want to explore what you might do after this session, there are sill about 8 more weekly sessions follow #GAIAjourney on Twitter. Here’s a sample of the energy they create in their Global zoom sessions http://twitter.com/MITxULab/status/1255748188478283776?s=20::

21:08:49 : This work needs to be HEART led, not MIND led. :::

21:09:17 : Yes, IMO, city level is better… Global Parliament of Mayors:::

21:09:39 : Yes. And cities need to be much smaller, not millions.:::

21:09:46 : California is now a “nation-state” according to Gov. Newsom:::